UCL  IRIS
Institutional Research Information Service
UCL Logo
Please report any queries concerning the funding data grouped in the sections named "Externally Awarded" or "Internally Disbursed" (shown on the profile page) to your Research Finance Administrator. Your can find your Research Finance Administrator at https://www.ucl.ac.uk/finance/research/rs-contacts.php by entering your department
Please report any queries concerning the student data shown on the profile page to:

Email: portico-services@ucl.ac.uk

Help Desk: http://www.ucl.ac.uk/ras/portico/helpdesk
Publication Detail
Reconstructing the emergence of a lethal infectious disease of wildlife supports a key role for spread through translocations by humans
  • Publication Type:
    Journal article
  • Publication Sub Type:
    Article
  • Authors:
    Price S, Garner TWJ, Cunningham AA, Langton T, Nichols RA
  • Publisher:
    Royal Society, The
  • Publication date:
    28/09/2016
  • Journal:
    Proceedings of the Royal Society of London: Biological Sciences
  • Print ISSN:
    0962-8452
  • Keywords:
    Pathogen pollution, Ranavirus, Citizen science, Wildlife disease, Anthropogenic drivers, Spatio-temporal models
Abstract
There have been few reconstructions of wildlife disease emergences, despite their extensive impact on biodiversity and human health. This is in large part attributable to the lack of structured and robust spatio-temporal datasets. We overcame logistical problems of obtaining suitable information by using data from a citizen science project and formulating spatio-temporal models of the spread of a wildlife pathogen (genus Ranavirus, infecting amphibians). We evaluated three main hypotheses for the rapid increase in disease reports in the UK: that outbreaks were being reported more frequently, that climate change had altered the interaction between hosts and a previously wide- spread pathogen, and that disease was emerging due to spatial spread of a novel pathogen. Our analysis characterized localized spread from nearby ponds, consistent with amphibian dispersal, but also revealed a highly significant trend for elevated rates of additional outbreaks in localities with higher human population density—pointing to human activities in also spreading the virus. Phylogenetic analyses of pathogen genomes support the inference of at least two independent introductions into the UK. Together these results point strongly to humans repeatedly translocat- ing ranaviruses into the UK from other countries and between UK ponds, and therefore suggest potential control measures.
Publication data is maintained in RPS. Visit https://rps.ucl.ac.uk
 More search options
There are no UCL People associated with this publication
University College London - Gower Street - London - WC1E 6BT Tel:+44 (0)20 7679 2000

© UCL 1999–2011

Search by